AI-Powered Crop Intelligence

Know the Crop
Before the Market Does

Daily AI-powered corn and soybean forecasts — giving grain traders, risk managers, and agribusiness a quantified production outlook weeks ahead of USDA.

3.13
Corn MAE bu/ac
25%
Better than USDA Aug
1.50
Soy MAE bu/ac
26 yrs
Backtest 2000–2025
U.S. Corn & Soybeans county to national
Daily from May 15 every season
API + CSV delivery
USDA + Trade Flow integrated

How It Works

AI Integrated at Every Step

Yield forecasting requires more than weather. AE4cast runs AI across the full pipeline — from raw weather to final yield signal.

Step 01
🌦
AI Weather Engine

10-day ensemble trajectories from a state-of-the-art AI foundation model at 0.1° resolution. Calibrated against ERA5 global reanalysis — the gold standard for historical weather.

Step 02
🛰
AI Crop Land Classification

Satellite imagery processed through AI models to map crop type and planting boundaries at county resolution — more accurate spatial weights than any public dataset.

Step 03
🌱
Crop Agronomy Model

Physics-informed functions translate weather into yield impact: growing degree days, heat stress thresholds, water deficit. Trained on 40+ years of county-level data.

Step 04
📊
Econometric Integration

Separates structural yield trends from weather-driven deviations. This layer is the source of AE4cast's minimum-bias advantage over weather-only competitors.

Proven Performance

Backtested Across 26 Years

Accuracy measured on the same day as USDA's August WASDE release — same information, no timing advantage.

Corn — 2000–2025 (26 years)

3.13
MAE bu/ac
25%
better than USDA Aug
83%
win rate 2020–25
AE4cast
3.13
USDA Aug
4.20

Soybeans — 2000–2025 (26 years)

1.50
MAE bu/ac
21%
better than USDA Aug
83%
win rate 2020–25
AE4cast
1.50
USDA Aug
1.89

What's Included

Everything You Need in One Platform

Actionable intelligence across yields, government data, trade flows, and area — updated every morning.

📈

Daily Yield Signals

County-level corn & soybean forecasts rolled up to state and national. 109 daily updates for corn (May–Aug), 139 for soybeans (May–Sep).

🏛

Government Data

USDA crop conditions, planting progress, planted/harvested area, yield, and stocks-to-use. Equivalent reports for Brazil, Argentina, and other origins.

🚢

Trade Flow Visibility

Monthly export progress for all major exporters with destination breakdowns. Track demand and bottlenecks before the market does.

🗺

Area Forecasts

Yearly planting and harvested area forecasts at the grid cell level, powered by AI satellite land classification.

Who It's For

Built for the People Who Move Markets

Decision-grade signals for every part of the agricultural value chain.

Trading

Grain & Oilseed Traders

Act on in-season yield shifts before official prints. Compare state-level conditions to position spreads. Track export pace to anticipate basis and flat price.

Risk

Risk Managers & Merchandisers

Quantify production risk with county-to-national aggregation. Stress-test exposure with weather indicators. Align hedges with objective, daily-refreshed signals.

Policy

Government & Policy Teams

Use AE4cast as an independent cross-check on official estimates. Spot emerging supply shocks earlier with transparent, weather-linked drivers.

Agribusiness

Processors, Crushers & Suppliers

Forward-plan procurement with state-level yield visibility. Match capacity and logistics to export pace. Reduce analyst lift; reallocate time to commercial strategy.

Get Started

Ready to See AE4cast in Action?

AI-powered daily yield forecasts, unified government data,
and trade-flow insights — scoped to your workflow.

Request a Demo

No commitment. We'll respond within one business day.

or

Prefer to talk first? info@ae4cast.com